Will the GOP win any future elections?
Posted: Sun Feb 01, 2009 2:07 pm
I am a bit sceptical.
The demography is changing.. GOP's most solid voter base, Non-Hispanic Whites are decreasing in number, while the population of minorities are exploding.
Just look at the 2008 results:
Non Hispanic Whites: 55% for GOP, 43% for DP.
Hispanics: 31% for GOP, 67% for DP.
Blacks: 2% for GOP, 96% for DP.
Now the current ethnic composition is 64% Non-Hispanic White, 17% Hispanic, 13% Black and 6% Others. And in 2020, non-Hispanic Whites will constitute a minority of the population.
I can't even think of any situation in which GOP wins any of the future elections. May be they will have one last chance if Arnold Schwarzenegger contests for them in 2012. But as we all know, he was born in Austria, and since not eligible to contest. Beginning of One party rule?

The demography is changing.. GOP's most solid voter base, Non-Hispanic Whites are decreasing in number, while the population of minorities are exploding.
Just look at the 2008 results:
Non Hispanic Whites: 55% for GOP, 43% for DP.
Hispanics: 31% for GOP, 67% for DP.
Blacks: 2% for GOP, 96% for DP.
Now the current ethnic composition is 64% Non-Hispanic White, 17% Hispanic, 13% Black and 6% Others. And in 2020, non-Hispanic Whites will constitute a minority of the population.
I can't even think of any situation in which GOP wins any of the future elections. May be they will have one last chance if Arnold Schwarzenegger contests for them in 2012. But as we all know, he was born in Austria, and since not eligible to contest. Beginning of One party rule?
